Feb 4, 2010

Daily Markets - Financial News Updates

Daily Markets - Financial News Updates


My Latest Market Observation « Michael Panzner »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 06:07 PM PST

Once a month or so I write a Market Observation for Financial Sense. Here is an excerpt from today’s edition:

As the following graph illustrates, those European nations that have spent too freely and borrowed too much are discovering that there's a price to pay for their profligacy. With the market price of insuring against default increasing rapidly, odds are that Portugal, Greece, Spain, Italy, the United Kingdom, and Austria, among others, will find it increasingly difficult to remain in … [visit site to read more]


Should You Go With Gold ETFs Or Gold Miner ETFs? « David Bettencourt »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 05:45 PM PST

“What’s better: gold or gold mining stocks?” I’m asked this question often at cocktail parties, but people aren’t always pleased with the answer I give: “It depends.”

For most of the past 12 months, gold stocks had the upper hand, at least as measured by the ratio of the two most popular exchange-traded funds tracking mining shares and bullion. In February 2009, the price of the SPDR Gold Shares Trust (GLD) was nearly 2x higher than that of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX). But … [visit site to read more]


Have Gold And Silver Already Begun A Rapid Descent? « Derek Blain »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 05:01 PM PST

This morning, I watched a video of the CEO of Gold Fields, Mr. Nick Holland, expressing his surprise at Soro’s recent statement that gold is the “ultimate bubble”.  Mr. Holland said that almost every other expert on markets he talked to had a vastly different opinion of the metal - that it was “fundamentally sound” etc.

So, that being said, how does one explain the drop to a new low for this gold bear market, just moments ago?  If fundamentals are so good, if the experts all agree that … [visit site to read more]


Forex Trading: Risk Aversion Returns, Sending U.S. Dollar Higher « BrewerFX »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 04:21 PM PST

Investors sold higher risk commodities and stocks and bought lower yielding assets on concerns that the sovereign debt issues in Greece will spread to other economies in the Euro Region. The Dollar finished sharply higher versus most major currencies except the Yen.
Investor concerns about the sovereign debt woes in Greece ignited the break in equities and commodities overnight, but a decision by the Bank of England and poor U.S. jobs data helped to accelerate the rally in the Dollar. Traders … [visit site to read more]


Daily ETF Roundup: EWZ, GDX Slide 5% « Michael Johnston »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 04:08 PM PST

Thursday's freefall intensified fears that a double-dip has already begun, as many major benchmarks endured their worst single-session slide since April. Despite a qualified endorsement of Greece's budget plan from the European Commission, worries of a meltdown in European credit markets sparked a global sell-off. Elsewhere, New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo filed charges against Bank of America and the retail sector reported impressive January results.
The ETFdb 60 Index dropped 21.14 … [visit site to read more]


Jobs Jobs Jobs – Trade Trade Trade « Bob McTeer »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 04:01 PM PST

Warning: In terms of the title, I’m about to bury my lead. Either be patient, or jump ahead.

Yesterday my dentist asked me if there was a short and sweet book I could recommend to him that would help him establish a framework for his thinking on matters economic. He thought he had good instincts about the major topics of the day-which I can confirm-but he needed a theory or theme for structure to organize his thinking. I said I would think about it.

Actually, I’ve given a lot of … [visit site to read more]


Largest S&P 500 Pullback Since March 2009’s Rally « Bill Luby »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:32 PM PST

Given all the requests I have to update the table below, I guess it is time to come to terms that the SPX Peak to Trough Summary Chart is going to be a regular feature on the blog for the time being.

This time around I have made a couple of minor changes. First, the 9.1% pullback of June-July 2009 is now highlighted in gray and the current pullback is highlighted in light red. Second, I have highlighted in a darker red those cells which indicate the current selloff has reached an … [visit site to read more]


Contract Wins By CSC « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:28 PM PST

Computer Science Corporation (CSC) has been in the news recently for winning some important contracts, though their impact on near-term earnings is not significant.
In its contract with the Department of Veterans Affairs, the company will be providing healthcare claims processing system and services. The solutions are intended to improve the cost efficiency of the department, which may then extend the one-year contract period by up to four years. While the contract is expected to help the … [visit site to read more]


Solar ETFs: Bright Future Or Headed For A Burnout? « Michael Johnston »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:20 PM PST

The ETF industry has been credited with bringing exotic asset classes and investment strategies within the reach of all levels of investors. But it has also provided a potentially better way to invest in asset classes and industries that have historically exhibited significant volatility. Because the ETF structure provides immediate diversification of holdings at a reasonable rate, it has been embraced as an efficient way to invest in junk bonds, micro cap stocks, and tech companies. ETFs have … [visit site to read more]


Stock Market Decline Due To Concerns Over Sovereign Debt Or Jobs? « Joseph Meth »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:13 PM PST

Sovereign debt or jobs? That’s about all I heard from those trying to explain or, more correctly, rationalize Thursday’s decline. What does it matter? All this conversation acts as a veil to diffuse the truth which is …. this correction was predictable. Better yet, it was predicted by many technical analysts (including moi) who looked at the difficulty the market was having crossing above the critical 1150 level (see “The Importance of S&P 1150 Can’t be Overstated” of January … [visit site to read more]


Near-term Outlook Positive For Cameron « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:12 PM PST

Oil drilling equipment maker Cameron International Corp. (CAM) is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, Feb 9, 2010, before the start of trading.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cameron’s fourth quarter is 53 cents per share, compared to the 75 cents per share earned in year-earlier period.
The Houston-based oilfield service firm reported profit of 58 cents per share in the third quarter of 2009. This was 9.4% above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 53 cents despite … [visit site to read more]


Book Review: How To Read A Financial Report By John A. Tracy « Jacob Wolinsky »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:01 PM PST

I took a break from my series of book reviews on the financial crisis to review a book on an unrelated topic (My next book review will be back to the financial crisis). My latest book review is How to Read a Financial Report: Wringing Vital Signs Out of the Numbers by John Tracy. The book was brought to my attention after a leading value investor (I do not recall which one) recommended it as a great book on analyzing financial statements. I also researched the book a little and found many … [visit site to read more]


The Coming Trade War « Daily Reckoning »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 03:00 PM PST

We write today's edition with the ghosts of Smoot and Hawley lurking over our shoulder. And Winston Churchill whispering "jaw-jaw" is better than "war-war."
Jawing is what United States and China have been doing for the last 24 hours. Very indirect, beating-around-the-bush jawing, but jawing nonetheless.
Yesterday, President Obama told Senate Democrats he hoped to pressure China to abide by trade agreements, without specifying what agreements China was breaking or how. And then he … [visit site to read more]


CIA Spooks Expand Into Financial Services Work « Daily Reckoning »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 02:59 PM PST

The CIA already has its hands full with counterterrorism and at least two wars… so it seems like the perfect time to enter just one more quagmire. As if the ethics of the CIA haven't been questioned quite enough of late, a recently-revealed policy allows operatives to work in the corporate world — including the moral bedrock of our nation that is the financial services sector — as consultants in skills such as "deception detection."
One popular spook employer: Boston-based Business … [visit site to read more]


Orange/T-Mobile Faces UK Probe « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 02:46 PM PST

The proposed merger of the UK units of European telecom giants Deutsche Telekom (DT) and France Telecom (FTE) in a 50-50 joint venture faces the possibility of an investigation by the Office of Fair Trading (OFT), the UK antitrust watchdog. OFT is of the opinion that the merger deal could significantly subdue competition in the UK wireless market.
The companies had announced their merger plan in September 2009 and filed their appeals to the European Commission, the executive body of the … [visit site to read more]


Triumph Group Underperforms « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 02:30 PM PST

Triumph Group, Inc. (TGI) reported results for the third quarter of fiscal 2010. Income from continuing operations was $18.1 million, or $1.08 per diluted share — down from $20.1 million, or $1.21 per diluted share, for the third quarter of the prior year. Reported EPS was also below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.20.
 
Net sales during the quarter were $313.5 million, increasing 10% from last year's third quarter net sales of $285.2 million.
The Aerospace Systems segment reported … [visit site to read more]


Reynolds Profits Miss Forecasts « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 02:12 PM PST

Reynolds American Inc. (RAI) reported fourth quarter earnings of $1.10 per share, down from the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15 and the last year's earnings of $1.27. The quarterly decline in earnings was the result of higher pension expenses.
For the full-year 2009, the company's operating earnings were $4.64, representing a negative earnings surprise of 1.1% from the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.69 and down 3.1% from the year-ago earnings of $4.79. The decline was primarily due to … [visit site to read more]


Perspectives On Canadian Real Estate For Q1 2010 « Arjun Rudra »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 02:01 PM PST

The results of a comprehensive survey that measured the confidence of senior executives in the Canadian commercial real estate industry were released today by the Real Property Association of Canada (REALpac) and FPL Advisory Group (FPL). The aim of this survey was to measure the pulse of the Canadian commercial real estate industry over time.

The REALpac/FPL Canadian Real Estate Sentiment Index for Q1/2010 came in at 76 on an overall basis, up from 68 last quarter.

On a sentiment … [visit site to read more]


Vancouver 2010: Olympic Fever Hits The Agora Investment Symposium Director « Daily Reckoning »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 02:00 PM PST

This is odd, but Vancouver must be the warmest and greenest city to host the Winter Olympic Games…ever. Obviously, this place is known for having a very temperate climate, which we love when we are here for the Symposium in July. And just escaping the summer heat of much of the lower 48 states is reason enough to come to Vancouver. But as a site for the Winter Olympics, it seems strange that there are leaves on the trees, the grass is green, and people are running and biking along the … [visit site to read more]


Snap-on Exceeds Consensus « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:58 PM PST

Snap-on Incorporated (SNA) reported fourth quarter 2009 earnings per share from continuing operations of 63 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 55 cents.
Sales of $618.1 million in the quarter were up $36.3 million, or 6.2%, sequentially from third-quarter 2009 levels. Fourth-quarter 2009 sales declined 7.4% from 2008 levels; excluding foreign currency translation, organic sales declined 11.1%.
Gross profit of $284.4 million in the quarter represented 46.0% of sales, compared … [visit site to read more]


Who’s Killing Financial Reform? « Robert Reich »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:53 PM PST

Senator Chris Dodd, the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, scolded Wall Street representatives at a hearing Thursday for sending "an army of lobbyists whose only mission is to kill the common-sense financial reforms" needed by the public. "The fact is," Dodd said, "I am frustrated, and so are the American people." He charged that Wall Street's intransigence was the reason for Congress's failure to pass any bill to regulate the Street. "The refusal of large … [visit site to read more]


Video: NYSE Closing Bell Market Monitor: EK, CSCO « NYFP »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:52 PM PST

02//04/10 The latest in news, commentary, and information on what’s moving the US equities markets. … [visit site to read more]


Northrop Fires Past Estimates « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:43 PM PST

Los Angeles-based leading shipbuilder and defense contractor Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) reported impressive fourth quarter results, with EPS of $1.37 beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26. The upsurge was also witnessed in fiscal 2009 results where an EPS of $5.50 swept past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.16.
Out of the 21 analysts covering the stock, one has upped his or her estimate for fiscal 2010, while another traversed the opposite path. Northrop Grumman's upsurge … [visit site to read more]


Hospira Surges Ahead « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:27 PM PST

Hospira (HSP) reported strong fourth quarter and full year 2009 results. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at 87 cents, well above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 70 cents and the year-ago earnings of 78 cents.
Revenues recorded a year-over-year increase of 15.5% to $1.1 billion, primarily driven by growth in Specialty Injectable Pharmaceuticals (SIP). However, after taking into account certain charges related to its operations and restructuring initiatives, EPS declined 10.8% to 58 cents. For … [visit site to read more]


Manitowoc Posts A Net Loss « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:14 PM PST

The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) reported a net loss of 7 cents per share for the fourth quarter of 2009, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a net profit of 3 cents per share and prior-year earnings of 46 cents per share.
Revenue in the quarter declined 31.1% to $838.7 million from $1,216.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2008. The year-over-year decline in sales was primarily driven by lower volumes in the Crane segment. The Foodservice segment benefited from the acquisition of … [visit site to read more]


A Momentum Peek Inside The January S&P 500 (SPY) Decline « Corey Rosenbloom »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:01 PM PST

It’s often helpful to step 'inside’ the price action, particularly if you are a swing trader and especially if you are an intraday trader to see the structure and formation of price and how it compares to momentum.

Let’s take a look at the 10min S&P 500 ETF (SPY) chart and note the current levels to watch going forward.

(Click for full-size chart)

Starting with the January 20th initial 'plunge,’ I drew a simple Fibonacci grid to connect the January 29th low to find the … [visit site to read more]


Interactive: What Should Be The Death Of The Birth/Death Model « Daily Reckoning »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:00 PM PST

Of all the activities the US government undertakes, it's the misleading ones that seem to occur most consistently. Revisions are always a good example, and one of the ugliest this week, well… at least tomorrow, will be the Friday jobs report. It's expected to show a staggering 824,000 additional job losses between April and March of 2008, the largest such revision in nearly two decades.
How is this possible? Well, the error comes by way of a statistical shortcut the Bureau of Labor … [visit site to read more]


Kellogg’s Misses Zacks Consensus « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 01:00 PM PST

Kellogg Company (K) reported fourth-quarter results with earnings of 46 cents per share. Earnings were below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 48 cents and down 2.1% year over year.
Quarterly net sales declined 1.1% to $2.9 billion driven by benefits from price/mix (+3.3%) and favorable currency translation (+3.6%) which were offset by tonnage (-1.4%). Internal sales, excluding impact of currency translations, increased 2.0%.
In North America, net sales declined 4.0% (internal growth 2%) for … [visit site to read more]


Global X Planning Gold, Silver Miners ETFs « Michael Johnston »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 12:55 PM PST

Over the past six months, New York-based Global X has introduced a line of sector-specific China ETFs, many of which have already seen impressive cash inflows and daily trading volumes. Now the upstart ETF issuer is turning its attention to commodities, filing for approval on four funds tracking indexes composed of mining stocks. The ETFs include:

Global X Copper Miners ETF: This ETF would be linked to the Solactive Global Copper Miners Index, a market capitalization-weighted index that is … [visit site to read more]


Avon Reports Modest Results « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 12:47 PM PST

Avon Products Inc. (AVP) reported fourth-quarter results with earnings of 62 cents per share. Earnings were below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 68 cents but up 14.8% from 54 cents reported in the prior-year period.
Total revenue increased 13.4% year over year to $3.1 billion, attributable to a 4% benefit from volume. The number of active representatives grew 11% during the quarter.
Sales of Beauty products increased 15%, due increases across all the three categories. Color Cosmetics … [visit site to read more]


CIGNA Outperforms, Reaffirms « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 12:33 PM PST

CIGNA Corporation's (CI) fourth quarter operating earnings of $1.03 per share were ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 96 cents. The company had earned 48 cents a share in the year-ago period.
The results reflect the improvements in the equity market that aided in its reinsurance business performance. Additionally, the results were also strong in its accident insurance business.
Quarterly net income was $330 million or $1.19 per share, compared with a net loss of $209 million or 77 … [visit site to read more]


Health Net Tops Marginally « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 12:16 PM PST

Health Net (HNT) reported fourth quarter earnings per share (EPS) of 69 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 67 cents and the year-ago quarter's 61 cents.
For the full year 2009, EPS came in at $2.25 compared to $1.85 of 2008. This is excluding $137.3 million in charges associated with the sale of its Northeast business operations to UnitedHealth (UNH) in Dec 2009. Taking into account these charges, the company reported a fourth quarter net loss of 43 cents per share compared … [visit site to read more]


BCE Beats, Outlook Favorable « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 12:01 PM PST

BCE Inc (BCE), Canada's largest telephone operator, announced results for fourth-quarter 2009 with adjusted (excluding restructuring and special items) earnings per share of 51 Canadian cents (48 US cents per ADS), beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 49 Canadian cents (46 US cents per ADS). However, adjusted earnings fell 7.3% year-over-year.
For full-year 2009, adjusted earnings per share were C$2.50 (US$2.19), also above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of C$2.35 (US$2.06).
Reported net … [visit site to read more]


Examining 13-D Filings: Become An Activist… For Your Money « Daily Reckoning »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 12:00 PM PST

Ninety-seven percent of all stock mutual funds are down from where they stood at the beginning of 2008. If you are surprised by this not-so-trivial piece of trivia, you shouldn't be. Very few mutual fund managers actually manage their funds in a way that could produce meaningful outperformance. So if it's outperformance you want, you'll probably have to do it yourself.
According to Morningstar, the average stock fund rose 35% last year… But that wasn't nearly enough to overcome the … [visit site to read more]


Starwood Beats, Lifts Outlook « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 11:50 AM PST

Starwood Hotels and Resorts Worldwide Inc. (HOT) has reported fourth quarter loss from continuing operations of $186 million or $1.03 per share. The company incurred a loss of $45 million or -25 cents per share from continuing operations a year earlier.
However, excluding special items, the company has earned $95 million or 51 cents per share in the reported quarter compared to $88 million or 49 cents in the year-ago period. Results are well ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 22 cents, … [visit site to read more]


Brazilian Bovespa: Dead Money « Guy Lerner »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 11:37 AM PST

Figure 1 is a monthly chart of the Brazilian Bovespa Index.

Figure 1. Brazilian Bovespa/ monthly

The indicator in the lower panel measures the number of negative divergence bars occurring between price and an oscillator that measures that price action. Negative divergence bars are the price bars with pink markers on them. As we have shown many times before (see this link and this link) across multiple markets, a clustering of negative divergence bars implies slowing price momentum. Often, a … [visit site to read more]


Clorox Beats, Raises Guidance « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 11:36 AM PST

The Clorox Co. (CLX) recorded 28% growth in fiscal second-quarter earnings to $110 million from $86 million in the year-ago quarter. Earnings per share came in at 77 cents, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2 cents.
Net sales for the quarter rose by 5.2% to $1.3 billion from $1.2 billion in the year-ago period. The growth was primarily driven by strong demand for Clorox's disinfecting products and favorable foreign currency translations. Total volume increased 5%, primarily due … [visit site to read more]


Housing Market Update: What’s Lurking In The Shadow Market? « Daily Reckoning »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 11:30 AM PST

Supply and demand in the housing market remain seriously out of whack. The Commerce Department reports housing vacancies remain near record levels. And a staggering 21% of housing units built since 2000 sit empty. That's a whole lot of cheap drywall and expensive countertops.
But it's likely to be only half the story. "People focusing on the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) data for an accurate picture of the current housing market are missing the bigger picture," writes the inimitable … [visit site to read more]


Deutsche Bank Turns Profit « Zacks Investment Research »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 11:22 AM PST

Deutsche Bank AG (DB) reported a fourth quarter net income of €1.3 billion ($1.9 billion) or €2.00 a share, compared to a net loss of €4.8 billion or €8.71 per share a year earlier. Results were primarily driven by a tax benefit. Additionally, the company experienced an increase in sales and trading revenue in the quarter.
The company experienced a €554 million gain from tax benefits in the reported quarter as a result of the recognition of deferred tax assets in the U.S. of €790 … [visit site to read more]


Fortune 500 Firms In 1959 Vs. 2009: 86% Are Gone « Mark Perry »

Posted: 04 Feb 2010 10:01 AM PST

What do the companies in these three groups have in common?

Group A. American Motors, Studebaker, Eastman Kodak, Maytag and National Sugar Refining.

Group B. Boeing (BA), Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere (DE), IBM (IBM) and Whirlpool (WHR).

Group C. Cisco (CSCO), eBAy (EBAY), McDonald’s (MCD), Microsoft (MSFT) and Yahoo (YHOO).

All the companies in Group A were in the Fortune 500 in 1959, but not in 2009.

All the companies in Group B were in the Fortune 500 in … [visit site to read more]


Singapore Stock Market Update For Thursday 04 February « Vivien Chia »

Posted: 03 Feb 2010 05:45 PM PST

Morning Highlights
Singapore market started almost unchanged on Thursday after Wall Street slipped overnight. However, market pulled back after 9:30, with the key STI off 17.54 points now. (Update: 9:50)
Other Asian stock markets are seen mixed, with shares in Japan weighed by deepening concerns over Toyota Motor’s recall of vehicles and as investors have adopted a cautious stance ahead of the U.S. jobs report on Friday.
Corporate Announcement

Noble Group proposed to issue an additional US400 … [visit site to read more]


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